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All qualifying routes
2026-27 European journey

Larne

Northern Ireland · coefficient 9
UCL Q1 · Champions path
Starts in
first qualifying round
Champions path
Seed status
Drawn
If they win
Champions League second qualifying round · Champions path
They advance to the next round.
If they lose
Conference League second qualifying round · Champions path
Their European campaign continues there.
Official draw Q1 · Champions path
The current tie

Larne vs Tre Fiori

Larne Drawn first
VS
Tre Fiori Opponent
Supporter briefing The picture can still change
Immediate read

The route is valuable, but too much of the field remains unresolved

Balanced matchup. The conclusion combines the score, opponent field, route, seed consequence and country context.

  • A loss moves the club into a lower competition
  • The result matters in a tight country race
  • Later opponents still depend on unresolved ties
Matchup
Balanced matchup
Current-strength model from European matches, through 2026-05-30. No win probability is shown.
Route value
Progression
Country stakes
High
A qualifying win adds 0.250 country points with a 4-club divisor
First-leg state
No first-leg result yet
If this tie goes either way Win: Champions League second qualifying round · Champions path Lose: Conference League second qualifying round · Champions path
Next draw: Unseeded side. The winner uses the club coefficient. 3 details still to be decided
See the complete route
Results to watch

These results can change who fills the opponent place.

3 details still to be decided
Tre Fiori Could change the route
How this was worked out

Current-strength model from European matches, through 2026-05-30. No win probability is shown.

Descriptive current-strength gap: -51.2 Elo points (positive favors this club).

Five-year UEFA coefficient: -6.500

Some opponents, draw places or seeding details will only become clear after the next result or UEFA draw.

Opponent football context

Tre Fiori

Domestic standing and form are kept separate from recent European match history.

European last five

Recent European results

  1. L
    0–1 Larne 2026-07-07 · UCL · First qualifying round
  2. L
    0–5 Pyunik Yerevan 2025-07-17 · UECL · First qualifying round
  3. W
    1–0 Pyunik Yerevan 2025-07-10 · UECL · First qualifying round
Sources
Recent participation

European stages reached

  1. 2026-27 · UCL First qualifying round 1 recent European match
  2. 2025-26 · UECL First qualifying round 2 recent European matches
Sources
Stages are based on recorded European campaigns; seasons without verified results are omitted.
The two routes

What happens after this tie?

Choose win or loss to see where the club goes next and who could be waiting.

After a win

They go to Champions League second qualifying round · Champions path.

Place in the next draw Expected to be unseeded

The winner uses the higher coefficient from this tie: 9.

Calculated rank range 22-23; seeded cutoff 13.

Next opponent already drawn

UEFA can create smaller draw groups and apply restrictions, so the final eligible-opponent list may be narrower.

Club Side Coefficient
Winner: The New Saints / Sabah Drawn 9
The New Saints 9
First leg: 0–2 vs Sabah Trails going into the second leg
likely
Sabah 6
First leg: 2–0 vs The New Saints Leads going into the second leg
9 seed
Continue the route
The route ahead

What happens if Larne win or lose?

The current opponent is drawn. Every later win and loss branch follows UEFA's 2026-27 transfer rules.

Win 2 ties to guarantee at least Conference League Even if every later tie is lost, the route still ends in the Conference League league phase.
Win 3 ties to guarantee at least Europa League Even if every later tie is lost, the route still ends in the Europa League league phase.
Win 4 ties to guarantee at least Champions League That reaches the Champions League league phase directly.
Current starting point Champions League first qualifying round · Champions path
Win the tie Stay on the upward route
  1. 1
    Next destination Champions League second qualifying round · Champions path
  2. 2
    Win again Champions League third qualifying round · Champions path
  3. 3
    Win again Champions League play-off round · Champions path
  4. 4
    Win again Champions League league phase
Lose the tie Drop down or exit Europe
  1. 1
    Immediate destination Conference League second qualifying round · Champions path
  2. 2
    If the next tie is also lost Out of Europe
Current opponent

How the opponent ranks in Europe

The five-year UEFA ranking helps explain the draw and seeding. It does not predict the result.

Tre Fiori
Five-year coefficient
2.500
European club rank
#379

Tre Fiori's coefficient is 6.500 lower.

Five-year record
  1. ’21/22 0
  2. ’22/23 1.500
  3. ’23/24 0
  4. ’24/25 0
  5. ’25/26 1